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The Effects of Migration and Connectivity upon Initial Behavior of Multi-City Endemic Models

We consider the behavior of an infectious disease over a system of networked cities with SLIR dynamics. Two models are studies: one with a partition between traveler and resident populations, and another without. R0 is computed for both the partitioned and non-partitioned models. Numerical solutions of the nonlinear dynamical and intercity spread of disease, and system response to dispersal volumes and number of connections between cities is also studied. We consider a theoretical future disease with SARS-like parameters, and run numerical solutions using parameters from past studies on SARS.

  • Poster session award recipient at the 2005 Mathfest in Albuquerque, NM

Article Number:
MTBI-02-05M

Year:
2005

Authors:
Alan Covert, Arizona State University
Laiza Espinoza, Arizona State University West
Matthew Hoffman, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology

the_effects_of_migration_and_connectivity_upon_initial_behavior_of_multi-city_endemic_models_.pdf