The Effects of Migration and Connectivity upon Initial Behavior of Multi-City Endemic Models
We consider the behavior of an infectious disease over a system of networked cities with SLIR dynamics. Two models are studies: one with a partition between traveler and resident populations, and another without. R0 is computed for both the partitioned and non-partitioned models. Numerical solutions of the nonlinear dynamical and intercity spread of disease, and system response to dispersal volumes and number of connections between cities is also studied. We consider a theoretical future disease with SARS-like parameters, and run numerical solutions using parameters from past studies on SARS.
- Poster session award recipient at the 2005 Mathfest in Albuquerque, NM
Alan Covert, Arizona State University
Laiza Espinoza, Arizona State University West
Matthew Hoffman, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology